Examples

See it in action

Explore real simulation results for three different product ideas. Each example shows the full report you'd get from running your own test.

Based on 5 survey-style responses

58%likely to buy
Mixed signalMedium confidence

About 58 out of 100 consumers would consider buying. Strongest demographic signal: Gender: Female.

Mixed signal — refine your positioning and test again.
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A refillable deodorant with a subtle cedar scent and a sleek aluminum case.

Category: Personal care. Price: $14.99. What's new: Refillable, low-waste packaging with a natural scent profile..

Response distribution

Definitely no
7%
Probably no
15%
Not sure
20%
Probably yes
33%
Definitely yes
25%

Demographic breakdown

Average score and likely buyers by group.

Age

18-243.9 avg · 65% likely
25-343.8 avg · 62% likely
35-443.6 avg · 55% likely
45-543.5 avg · 50% likely
55-643.4 avg · 48% likely

Income

$150k+3.9 avg · 67% likely
$100k-$150k3.8 avg · 63% likely
$50k-$75k3.7 avg · 60% likely
$75k-$100k3.6 avg · 55% likely
$25k-$50k3.5 avg · 52% likely

Gender

female3.8 avg · 62% likely
male3.5 avg · 52% likely

Region

west3.8 avg · 64% likely
northeast3.7 avg · 58% likely
south3.6 avg · 55% likely
midwest3.4 avg · 50% likely

Ethnicity

asian3.9 avg · 65% likely
hispanic3.8 avg · 62% likely
black3.7 avg · 58% likely
white3.6 avg · 55% likely
other3.5 avg · 52% likely

Signal highlights

Highest lift

Gender: Female

62% likely to buy

Lowest lift

Gender: Male

52% likely to buy

Widest spread

Gender

10% gap between groups

Most consistent

Gender

10% gap across groups

Why people lean this way

Reasons to buy

  • Refillable packaging reduces waste and appeals to eco-conscious buyers
  • Scent profile feels upscale and gender-neutral
  • Premium materials signal quality and durability
  • Easy to picture using it daily

Concerns

  • Unsure if the cedar scent will suit everyone's taste
  • Refill process might be inconvenient or messy
  • Price could be higher than drugstore options people are used to
  • Would want proof it lasts all day before committing

Sample responses

I like the idea of a refillable deodorant because it feels more sustainable than the usual plastic sticks. The cedar scent sounds refined, but I would want to smell it first.

Age 25-34 · Female · $50k-$75k · West · Hispanic

This sounds premium and eco-friendly, which is appealing. If the refills are easy to order and not too pricey, I'd consider switching.

Age 35-44 · Male · $75k-$100k · South · White

The aluminum case feels elevated, but I'd need to know how well it works compared to what I use now.

Age 55-64 · Female · $100k-$150k · Midwest · Black

I'm drawn to the sustainability angle. At $14.99 it's reasonable for a refillable, though I'd want a trial size first.

Age 18-24 · Female · $25k-$50k · Northeast · Asian

Method notes

We simulate how a demographically balanced panel would answer a purchase-intent survey, then translate their responses into a survey-style score and distribution.

Agreement level

1.180

Lower = more agreement

Group spread

0.140

Lower = more consistent

Panel size

25 profiles

Panel mix

Age, gender, income, region, ethnicity

Scoring guide

default

Scoring model

Standard text model

Research-backed. Based on a published research paper validated against human survey responses. Read the paper.

Recommended next steps

  • Adjust the promise or price to move more people into 'likely to buy'.
  • Consider an A/B: change one claim or price point and rerun.

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